UDSS Co-Chairman General Sir Richard Barrons KCB CBE features in The Economist for an exclusive 'By Invitation' guest essay on Ukraine's counter offensive.
It is one act in a global drama pitting democracies against autocracies, says the former British general.
Ukraine's counter-offensive is under way, and its armed forces intend to take back as much Russian-occupied territory as possible in the coming months. The outcome is hostage to the chance and emotion that characterises all wars. Whatever the result, understanding whose counter-offensive this really is will determine what happens after it draws to a close as the weather turns later this year.
There are three very broad potential outcomes. First, the offensive routs the Russian invaders and by Christmas the last occupier is back across the border. This would rely more on Russia folding than on the relatively limited force Ukraine has assembled.
